A Reaction to U.S June Job Reports

U.S Job Reports for June 2013 show that the U.S added about 195,000, 400 jobs less from previous month and unemployment remained at 7.6% unchanged. The U.S institute of Supply Management reported that the index of U.S factor rose from 50.9 from 49 - a difference of 1.9 - which naturally reverts to the growth of economy assuming housing which has not been a factor didn’t force adjustment. In kind, it is also reported that export orders of durable goods increased from 54.5% to 51 and is adjudged a consequence of shortfalls in Japan business environment and quantitative easing in Europe leading to more new areas of growth.

Overall, the world of manufacturing increased over the month in Europe but dipped in the United States, and with many new graduates finding jobs – especially in tech market the numbers of employed Americans. The attention is now turned towards unemployment numbers at recurrent 7.6%, more than 1% of the formal target of Obama administration and the Federal Reserve.

Given the fact that some states in U.S for instance North Carolina ended the benefit of 70, 000 people and has no plans of acquiring new Federal Debt, the 7.6% unemployment takes on a whole new meaning.

These days we may notice the rise of pure play economies which constitutes a part of what some likely regard as the New Economy, has brought other avenues of business trust, to the degree of compromising people information without their knowing it. It is now an old theory that the Feds and Obama shooting up for 7% unemployment may be gearing the country towards anything new, perhaps the theory is not without meaning since U.S at this period is either motivated towards new grounds in spite of the fears that accompanied the avoidable 2008 financial crash.

It is not correct that stocks have to go up all the time, and is not accurate that stocks that went up have to come down.

Prices change due to circumstances that are usually beyond the control of the market but when prices are impacted by causes that are well known, the staying power of the shock tend to last longer than normal retraction period. Stock prices may fluctuate due to changes in the economy but when they become volatile like the 2008 incidents – which could be avoided – they bring far reaching changes and consequences.

Perhaps attentions is not necessarily placed on what the employment numbers are saying about U.S or what the manufacturing indexes are leading us to believe about our economy or the International market, rather, the U.S economy may be recovering with due respect to competitive age of Small Caps new products or Small to Mid cap companies in U.S strength shown in areas where matured companies once had preeminence.

Secondary to this new development is that manufacturing has been to new meaning from what in recent times available and in spite of the changes that accompanies this period in the economic life of any country, these new companies may be telling us something, especially in the area of food production and agriculture.

                                                                   II

What has happened with the Americans manufacturing in recent times is that with Jobs has moved elsewhere for instance China created opportunity for small companies and new IPOs or some new companies with entirely new approach to business to enter the economy. Of course China new reversals in terms of the exchange rate are giving tendency for a claw back of these transported businesses. This process is form of transition, and it is nowadays regarded as Transition Strategy.  

The strength of any economy is measured by how quickly it transforms the life of citizens from poverty level to higher level and how they do it. The rate (ratio) at which this happens in respect to other markets (demand and supply) forms the estimate of the nation's 'Transition Strategy' which is gradually a language in universal field theory.

From the position of many experts who has taken this subject seriously, there is a form of accounting that deals mainly with demographics of a country, that from these demographics, that they are able to state for sure what is happening in the life of any sector of the economy and not just the sector, the life of real estate and the individuals that compromise the economy.

In the circumstance, it is not uncommon that the above statistics concerning U.S Job has already been factored into the economy and this factor is not only the official numbers of U.S economy but also the sound statistics.

 However, there are certain areas of interest for instance manufacturing that deals with new and evolving U.S Market that is still outside the attentions of this administration, such that 55, 000 of the 190, 000 jobs in U.S were driven by the food lines and not necessary manufacturing, gives us a better view of the general effect of an American Market that is struggling to adjust to new realities of immigration and competition from the BRIC nations.

It is not uncommon to develop these jobs along the lines of food and clothing, and this areas represents what is more pressing in U.S and it reference to the mathematics of Stock Prices and building more ecological farms and the underwater constructions are business and venture business that are likely to occupy the rest of the economic decade.

But of course, this may be expected from an economy recovering from the Depression of 2008

to a period of prosperity which is mildly associated with economic opportunity of a Shakeout, for here at least and in this opening rounds of the shakeout, Bond market is believed much more beneficial to individual or institutional investors. With the ‘shakeout’ period of any economy in the world, the general argument is that deflation is the greatest concern and it is no brainier giving the shift from the stock of real investment to Bond market.

Commensurate to this deflationary ridden market is the role of government in promoting the healthy life of the Market and this they do through extension of loan credit to first time IPOs and new companies charging towards the stage of Innovation in any market.

                                            

                                                                III

There is something about this ‘Shakeout’ period which people should take seriously, that as far the four term cycle of the President, it is not always easy to begin to create better margin for businesses rather, it is one or so into the presidents second half that can money spent through ‘quantitative easing’ may be begin generate the requisite ROI; Return on Investment. For this and other reason concerning the health of the country and plausible argument on deflationary tract following a shakeout, interest rate remains at the lowest in history.

It is therefore common sense to indicate that the U.S economy may be poised to take bullish run beginning at least in December of 2013 which is the end of Obama’s first year of his second term and may likely continue into 2016.   

There are more concerns of our current economy with due respect to one, the activity of the Feds and to another, the issues associated with what may be called Transition strategy regarding not so much the health of any economy or how it transforms the life of its citizens. Obviously, the emphasis on technology is not reason, but as far as can be suggested, there is growing gap between rich Americans and not so rich.

Generally, transition strategy occurs at any level of a company, or any economy, or at any life of a product life over a period of time.    

Going at the current rate of manufacturing index in U.S and the number of buildings on sale across the Bible belt, it is not wrong that one of the Chief elements of U.S Economy, Manufacturing (once pushed to the rear) is slowly recovering. It is however difficult to estimate how quickly it will take to reach new levels going forward yet we can say that the good signs from shed unemployment rate in the country is without the Sharpe for real time Manufacturing and not just orders for durable goods.

                                                   Tesla and the ‘Teste of Process’

One of the new IPOs that have broken the barriers for new companies and seeking new partnerships and frontier is Tesla Motors. It is no secret that the company has featured well in the annals of list makers and made the full frontal page on Paper and Internet News agencies, but it mountain to climb to meet the obligations of the general Americans.

There may be other incentives that make it  possible for this to happen, and there is comfort from the fact that it may be decided thorough the new initiatives towards communications, affordable Health Care ‘Obama Care’ and Clean Energy would have served their purpose for the American Economy

But the trial of this comparison and the actual 'Teste of Process' and stress in Obama’s administration may in times like this be reduced to U.S manufacturing and for one, Tesla, which despite being outside the creative ego of Obama, may serve as the better ‘teste’ of Obama reforms and unlike GM and Obama, the litmus paper for this government towards a better America that is gradually exceeding F.D.R's, is Tesla and not GM.

From Tesla, we may begin to lay out the argument about the fundamental seismic changes in the Labor market and manufacturing which U.S or the World may or may not ready for. Perhaps Tesla is not the only company but it is one of the major landmark car companies that is both a symptom of the American cultural past and the meaning of current administrative of process by Obama, it in fat connotes the success and failures of the electric car companies in an age of fuel guzzling. 

Robin Chase, Zip Car Owner and Co-founder, once indicated that 'Infrastructure is destiny' and from the paraphrased onion she attempted to make believe that the infrastructure that we build today, perhaps according to our making and maturation, determines the lives we are likely to lead a few decades on. She went on to suggest that with the age of subways coming to an end in 1920's and particularly 1914, came the idea of Motor vehicles and these cars constituted the baring limits of mobility around the Country or in the world.

And with due respect to this age and time, she mentioned that it was up to us to design cars for the future and promote clean air technology that may help in the years going forward to manage the addiction to Crude Oil Cars. In part, we may look at the role that both Zip Car and Tesla will play in a nation that is coming to grips with its industries. We may also these two companies are not the only two of many Car companies currently operating in the States.

We want to indicate that if Tesla or Zip Car would emerge now as the Motor Car company of the future, they bring to the table the direct and indirect problems that U.S in facing, that not only are these companies lacking in strategy or delivery, the point about the  Local Car Company...

Going at the current rate of manufacturing index in U.S and the number of buildings on sale across the Bible belt, it is not wrong that one of the Chief elements of U.S Economy, Manufacturing, is pushed to the rear. It is difficult to estimate how unemployment rate in the country has diminished in numbers without the Sharpe for real time Manufacturing and not just orders for durable goods.

One of the new IPOs that have broken the barriers for new companies and seeking new partnerships and frontier is Tesla Motors. It is no secret that the company has featured well in the annals of list makers and made the full frontal page on Paper and Internet News agencies, but it mountain to climb to meet the obligations of the general Americans.

Don Tapscott and Anthony D. Williams ‘Macrowikinomincs’;2010, were also aware of the challenges that new car companies have to face but have the hope that these companies are surviving better largely for the fact that GM and other Detroit auto giants are experiencing problems of new market. For these group of experts there is still a trail of hope for new car companies although old transport facilities are preferred with due respect to the clean air technology and the emission of CO2 which consumption of fuel is generating.

According to this partnership, ‘on average one car generates 28 tons of waste and pollutes 1, 421 cubic air, just in its manufacturing’, that ‘600 million cars on the road today account for 10 percent of  CO2 emissions,...’ and that “Unburdened by the legacies that encumber incumbent manufacturers like GM, America Start-up like Tesla Motors, Fisker Automotive, V-Vehicle, and Coda-Automotive are rolling electric, hybrid, and other innovative vehicles.”

Yet having several companies such as Frisker, V-Vehicles, Local Cars, Coda- Automotive, Zip Car or Tesla Cars, playing along the giants such as Toyota, Peugeot, GM, Ford, Benz, Mazda, Volvo, etc, is an obstacle that need rely on the trial on clean air technologies or manufacture of electric cars, which is reality 21^st century with the 18^th century invention.  

Far more daunting is the statistics associated with Cars in both mature markets like U.S and in the Internationals such as Asia, where as in 2008 ‘the world’s expansive road network covered some 70 million kilometers – enough road-way to build 180 expressways to the moon’ and there are estimates of a China with 700 million cars by 2050, estimates will prove that emphasis on clean air vehicles and other green initiatives may not meet the demands of the general public its lineage towards

With hope that if China achieves half the dream in setting standards, the same might apply in the States and Canada, with Brazil and India pushing the same initiatives, that future will be closer than is currently projected.  

                                                      IV

More than once, I for one, has compared this decades economic activity with the 1920's, especially the area of automotive industries that for instance, the rise of Ford Cars and the consequent rise of other automobile industries in the 20's co-incidence with the steady momentum of the Stock, and far from Coal as the main engine for Energy Supply, there was also the issue of Crude oil to replace it.

The rates in the 20's the as now were also low and there was Europe then and now (recently) as a continent that tethered on breakdown, where as the Americans were surviving at slightly higher rate than their antecedents.

Within the joy of making New Cars and new forms of Energy technology was population explosion in the states and the immigration problem associated today with Mexicans and Asians, where as in the 20's it was associated with Irish and Italians and other ethnic minorities.

Then, the natural projection of many economist and sympathizes was that of an America that was gradually succumbing to the fealty of immigrants from Russia, Hungary, Ireland, Italy etc, and the Great Depression that followed their outrages proved a general point for all and asunder and heightened the reserves, especially in the North.

But U.S actually got stronger with immigration, not because it allowed foreign to force them out of their old ways; rather it embarked on a future that was beyond the years of his competitors.

In the 20's, productive capacity of Manufacturing Industries ebbed and flowed and the problems of Productivity took difficult and uncertain path, but where the U.S government was convinced of the profits of future rewards of such efforts, it continued with projects that was beyond the grasp of the general public.

The result was a country that was more than ready for the 20^th century and more than matched the challenges from Western Europe in time of crisis or their Finest Hours(?). 

Obama is interested in doing the most possible to ensure sufficiency of Fiscal Cash, both to the bank and the consuming public.  Such actions are 180 degrees different from the 20's freer economy but the comparison does not falter or the missions dissimilar. If from bigger and more mature companies smaller cooperation emerge, then the new found means and the found ways of creating and localizing industries – including clean air technology might be a right tract for the  country and for investors moving on.

Chance and Total Expectation

A Chance

A man called himself Chance on the theory that a protein responsible for coding for Melanin during his mother's and father's meiosis did not open, and the result was a child of yellow hair and white skin who they call Albino. From a distance he looks Russian and closer he looks like rare White specie. What are the chances that a child of two Black African parents could actually be white? In recent times in Nigeria, there are instances of these cases where Black parents literally give birth to light skin and not albino children.

What are the chances that Black parents could give birth to Albino kids? The chance for this occurrence is as common as the next born child.

What are the chances that the two White Parents could produce Black kids? The chance for this sort of happening is not exactly common through history. That is even if the father is African of the first race, the parents of a black man and a white woman usually lead to a mixed variety. This is the problem. It seems that expectations are concomitant with chances of two probable extremes, either one or the other, and for that to take place one outcome is only likely to occupy the minds of certain persons of interest.

In essence, there is practically no point is expecting two black parents to give birth to a white child, or two white parents to give birth to a black child. There is also no need to force the expectations of the parents to linger between the male and female gender of the child given the fact that during meiosis, the attraction between male and female zygote determines these outcome.

It is argued that it all comes down to the.....Now would it be strange to suggest that a certain parent's expectation for a child of any given variety is somewhat more or less frivolous than a parent's expectation for a child of normal variety. The answer is that both expectations have little or nothing to do with the overall process of child bearing. Of course, these days’ parents may decide what kind of a child they want, and in this case, we are no longer dealing on expectations or unknowns, we are dealing with a form fulfilling.

There is what we may regard as normal expectations, which as many psychologists have written arrives at our humanity from the standpoint of self preservation and self preservation from selfish genes is the central core of the general world of Risk and not necessarily Chance. Because of this enormous faith in one's own bias, human beings naturally succumb to the temptations of chance within a Total Expectation.

But there is such a thing as total expectations which are the real definition of world of chance. In essence, if we expecting a child of similar or unfamiliar verity, we must be willing to accept that the total conditions involved in the process of child bearing may be too powerful to accommodate the shallow expectations of one parent group. To be fair, we need to mention that as far as changes taking place in a society or involved in the process of giving birth to a child, no one Human Being is exactly alike, and this includes the seeming abnormality of having racially dissimilar children from parents of a racial type or animal of common stock.

When we experience large strophe of changes within a specific environment, it is really part of the overall expectation. That is changes that are so sudden and so abnormal usually follow a pattern that reverts to a course - perhaps a different course, and not necessarily to original line. In reality, the saying that prices have not history may be true, but overall price of a piece of a stock may assume a new territory all together and from this territory, new price line is reached.

People lose money in the market for failing to absorb the total expectations of the market, which is not due to individual highly opinionated thrust but on the possibility that an outcome is more than likely.

Why are then the people know this much yet every day we make the same mistake. One of the problems associated with this price has no history as Economist has proved, and in spite of what the price said ten years ago, there is event horizon that makes the reverting quite impossible. As such the Moving Average incorporates some of the changes that can take place in a given environment over a given period of time, so also chance, which is infinite, so also price subject to changes and why we make money up or down. 
     
One way we measure the nature of undue risk is the left and right of our expectations against the right and left of total expectations in a system. Is a system of thinking and of private expectation in business hold any meaning to the overall expectations in a given market? For instance, what are chances that the general stock real capital is suggesting an investment with less than 2% over the two years, and the total expectations of the general markets informs us of this possibility, we can begin to guess on the errors associated with a belief system and therefore risk, when within the same market we are expecting 4% percent returns for the same number of years.

The Chance of achieving this theory in many markets is quite low and in fact not possible largely for the fact that changes do take within a given time that should compel the total expectation in less than two years to move in either direction. 

Scenario one

(1) What are the chances that total theory compounded by the total amount of 'theories' from available total information on a subject, which if subject to the same process will turn out to be the same thing. ....Using Arithmetic, what are the chances that 10 people will read through the same book and interpret the book exactly the same way? What are the chances that an average Musician, perhaps a Pianist, will perform the same piece exactly as any of the last ten before them? What are the chances that you will never grow old, tired, or die? What are the chances that the set of tossed coins will land in exactly the same way?   

Scenario two

(2) what are the chances that the total savings on an average American or anyone in Insurance will be equal to the amount paid after delivering a 30 year Insurance premium. In essence, even if we add the interest rate coefficient of over the 30 year compounding, what are the chances that a man or woman will receive the quoted amount. The reality is that despite what is assured of these group and people, there is no saying that any person will live that long. 

Scenario three

(3) We are watching game six of the 2013 NBA final games between San Antonio Spurs and Miami Heat, and sometime towards the end of the game, the Spurs had the ‘chance’ to conclude the win but they didn’t. The spurs were ahead in the series 3-2 and are one win away from claiming the championship but actually lost. The Spurs went on to the next game to lose the championship, but before the 7^th and final game, many of their fans have already lost hope citing that game 6 was the spurs chance to conclude the series and win the cup. In essence, the Spurs missed the chance to win the championship.

The question, why did the fans of the Spurs team lose their faith in the team? And the Second question which is also a theme is, if opportunity was truly the Spurs’ why did it come only once? If we comb backwards to that game 6, we will find out that the Miami Heat and Spurs did not simultaneously win the game or lose the game. Only one team lost the game and the other lost. It does appear that the chance for Spurs to win the game which didn’t convert is not lost at all it simply transferred from one form to another, from the opportunity or the chance to win a game for the Spurs which they failed to use to another chance for the Miami Heat to win the game. 

Two chances cannot be created at the same time unless both parties decide on the outcome. It can see that when two people agree with each other, it is no longer chance, in reality they created their own chance to either agree or disagree. For that opportunity or Chance to accomplish anything or win anything is precisely the measure of equal opportunity to lose or have the opponent use. For every conceivable opportunity or Chance is equal and opposing chance and opportunity for that no-Chance and no-Opportunity to take please. It therefore unrealistic that chance or opportunity to exist outside the wishful thinking of say a Spur’s fans wishing to win a game that don’t already have. 

Chance in any circumstance is not equal to any opportunity, Chance is a product of self preservation, as if we preying on a process as if to Cheat a system. The most we can make of what we can call Chance or opportunity, is meeting a preset obligation which is equal to time and bodes well for business of all kinds and for all reasons. What are the chances that a man for instance will lose some money in business with high risk?  There are no chances in taking risk, risk is the degree through which maximize our time in business and minimize the opportunities.

To be very common, we can argue that if a man and a woman do not for instance protect each other through intercourse, we can say that either parties is increasing the risk of being STD infected, and the word chance is equal to the very act. What if these two parties knowing the two probably end decides to take actions to forestall the risk, you will release that the Chance disappears and both parties, either through marriage or extra-caution take adequate coverage, there will no excuse and Chance will manufacture all excuses becomes one side of coin which has both sides.  

The rest is the gut of irrationality which is rationality.    

This is what perhaps happens when we place emphasis on a natural sequence, we may tend to believe that a sequence of any type, sequence based on the most definite measure of information, or numbers will ultimately yield a definite measure of information. This is a fixed condition. For instance 2+2 is naturally expected to give us 4. That is the common reality that 2+2 is 4 is also part of the total reality that 2+2 is 4. This may also mean that that the Chance of 2+2 to produce 5 is as a good as one good as one man in of him having children 5 children in 4 divided by 2 years.

So if this is the case, is it still possible to think that those who expect 2+2 to give 5 should be taken seriously. The answer is no. So why do people bet on this probability that out of nowhere, the Sun will dim and the moon will darken and then there is Eclipse. This kind of bet is not at all realistic and many people generally will not bet on such an outcome, however, there is a chance that the majority of the Average Joes, including the author, will price into the sky the possibility of a rain falling when a change occurs, where in the cause of this change, the sky becomes cloudy and looks to pour all of a sudden.

The only reason people study changes in the market or the sky is to form an estimate possibility, a form of total expectation based almost entirely on the outcomes characteristic of the event. As such the more of the total expectation of an event increases with probably known outcomes, the lesser the reward for instance, the less surprise the outcome is. In essence the total expectation of known outcome inversely related to the surprise/rewards of the outcome.

More than any time, many people are taken to this kind of expression, is that it is based on an event horizon. But in market where there is profit from goods which may lead to self preservation, there are now questions of one's position and opinions and time. These last measures in the whole intellectual item are the better way of expressing the cover story associated with Risk in the Business and Risk management.  

To that end, we may also suggest that as far as Chance in business is concerned, it can vibe reduced to anyone’s formal reaction to the immediate circumstance or relies on one’s ability to deliberately make a plan and follow up the plan with allotted time. Chance is not opportunity created, chance is the distance between the ends and means, for chance to be equal to one incident should also mean that chance is infinitely possible and can be present everywhere. Opportunity may in of itself be considered arbitrary, largely, for the fact that opportunity is either an error within a fictional process or a preconceived privilege outside the non fictional process.

 Total expectations

 Many a times in the long history of human beings we hear some sayings that the 'dirt breeds dirt' 'birds of the same feather flock together' 'bad habit corrupts good manners' 'tell me your friends and I will tell you who you are' 'guilty by association' or perhaps these terms, separating 'goods eggs from bad eggs' 'weeds from the tars' and from these slew of interesting citations, it is possible to suggest that the human beings in their long history have always seem that a crowd of people is likely to affect the way we do things and that human beings tend to field their own ideology along with others.

It is quite revealing is that the tall tales about the company we keep can also be represented mathematically, and particularly as a set of ordinals where the optimum behavior of a single value say y in series of xy+yy+zy = 12 is important is determining how other letters or values within the series perform. That is finding the value of y in the stated series can determine the optimality of each of the letters or values in the literal expression. That is assuming the values of the letters other y is not known, where as one of the y must be different from original y, hence a bracket of possibility, its optimality.

Well this is not the point of our discourse but it is close to the theory of Total Expectation, not that the optimality is ridden to topology but we are also considering the use of such expression in letting us suggest that the formula of Total Expectation does not collapse into the ‘fact or true’ theorem, rather, Total Expectation is closer to the Theory of Chance around a previously known outcome, such that consideration regarding the outcome of any case becomes more important than the process, or considerations regarding an end becomes more important than means leading to the conclusion; the outcome.   

Total Expectation is a field that may be different from crowd psychology which is a field that Ida B. Wells on her attempts to stop public lynching of Black males, that it was clear to her that many people who got involved in the lynching process had no idea what they were doing, that the crowd usually swallows the minds of the general public and that the body of the victim is so disfigured by the lynching crowd and some of them die before even getting there. But crowd psychology from the position of experts including Freud, tend to determine why some people withdraw from participating in a riot and others do, and such may also lead to whom new avenues.

These days, psychology is easily reduced to mathematics and it is not that difficult to mathematically determine the equation for Crowd Psychology.

However, we may equally indicate that though it seems proper that Crowd Psychology is the same total behavior and total expectations, it may not exactly be different yet the final points of these varying degrees of studies if of great importance. In reality, Total Expectations is not so much the process involved in Crowd Psychology and is not the behavioral sensitivities and complex, rather, Total Expectations deals on the ends from means and not the means, it tend to suggest that final points or the last resolution or ends results of a situation is of greater importance than the equally important process. What is for instance the total expectations of a society that choose six.  

For instance we can still question what happens when we find for instance all men involved in a riot or all women involved in riot, for instance in the famous Aba Women Riot of 1929, where women took the town and demonstrated to the point that the strategically damaged property owned by colonial office and their anger was supposedly well coordinated towards their demands.

The outing of the Egyptian President is an example that merits a second look at the circumstance surrounding the rise of Crowd against their government.

A crowd of women they say behave like one man, and a crowd of men behave like one woman

It  is important how that fit into the mirror of public expectations, for sure most grouped together are less inclined to augur out their natural instincts as opposed to women who though capable on the same vice as their men as less expected or required by society to act out their excesses. 

As such, women sometimes mislead themselves into accepting that unless they do some brutal maneuvers, they will not be taken seriously in social circumstances. This leads a crowd of women protesting or involved ins come gathering, to act like they mean it and in the process unleashing their own version of a vice-ridden primary nature. As such it may seem wise to ask a crowd of women to lead protect and make sure their points are taken seriously.  

Total expectation is the process of determining a choice when the outcomes are already known and it seems to be different from the Crowd psychology associated with people who are not sure of what they are doing,

Total expectation is derived from the saying that ‘whole is larger than the sum of the parts’ that to say that the sum of the parts does in mathematics or Physic give us the whole. Of which case, the end is not always equal to the means or the means equal to the final result. A choice is not always a product of the process involved in many the choice; a choice may also include the final renown

If for instance that a certain soldier is asked to do the work of very popular individual and he or she does the work to the great and useful level, what are the chances that the number of soldiers that are asked to do this kind of job will not fail to meet obligation. The chance will depend on a number of important items, but the end result will become far more important than the process if these soldiers are composed mainly of Women.

In essence we may consider that the process involved in achieving the desired or set result is not important any longer than the set result, and for that the achieving any the desired answer takes a larger role than the process and when the process is also pursued completely will not in the end be equal to the said results.

Scenario one,

A man by name George Zimmerman is accused of murder in first degree of a 17 year old, and at the time that Zimmerman called the Police and the response team, he pleaded that the shooting was in self defense. The Police ruled that the Zimmerman defended himself and refused to indict the him until the families of the victims asked for a response from D.A and then the trial date was set. During the Jury selection period, both parties the Prosecutors and Defenders, reduced their choice to 6 women who were asked to represent the interest of the general public. Jury composed of only women.

Now what are the chances that this jury composed only of women (one ordinal) will exercise the right judgment in the case against the Zimmerman. Of course, the trial can only go two ways and either way, there is lots of restitution. It may not seem to any man or woman looking at the case that the case is probably already decided. That is the process of adjuration that should amount the result by the choosing a first level ordinal denies the process a part in the final solution.

In reality it may seem that the question and answer period and the court battles of the parties involved would actually determine the position of the Jury on so sensitive a matter, but by Total Expectation, we can also assure that the outcome of the case or the ends of the case or trial has little or no bearing to the means.

By Total expectation we can argue that in order to understand what is in the minds of the Jury; only of women, we should look at other issues as stake, that one this is a sensitive popular and social dissent trial and two, it is a case that will talk about in years to come and may or may not have far reaching social consequence but always serve as a form of rebuttal a case of this nature is handled, that is a legal precedence. Three, you are looking anyone shooting a Black Male in a place like Florida and against all mischievous indulged by others, this single group is the least tolerated even by black women, and such the larger question is what do the public really want. Four, you are talking about a case that could set a standard on how Jury can be selected in future and if a ‘teste of process’ of some level that accompanies that decision of the people.

Lastly and most important of all, you have a jury composed only of women. This last factor under regular circumstances will not matter and there are lots of cases involving an all women jury, but this one does. In making this sort of selection in a case that entered public eyes, it comes to expectations and no longer a matter of right and wrong. In reality, we should be asking the Court how it arrived at this solution since opinions is a citizen to no body. What these women will ask themselves if how the public will perceive their actions and their decision. Will the Public think of them as a women who didn’t have the heart to convict a villain like Zimmerman is proven so, or will the public see these women and other would members of jury composed of women, is people who were naturally prone to the improbable outcome of a case with some moral bias and no moral guarantee.

The Court decided this case, for seem at least to me  that it is about statement, it not so much a case of women’s intelligence which they have or their personal capability which they have in kind, but as a bet on the moral evolution of a society that has conceived of women as emotionally unstable. Here is the trick, which I will bet anyone, that the case between the People of Florida and Zimmerman will end in decisive ‘Not Guilty’ by the Jury. There is no way that history will not be made from the case there is no way that some people will not have anything to discuss about the case after now and for that the end results and the statement it will make is more important than the whole defenses and prosecuting that is going, and the Court and the attorneys knew this and choose a first ordinal whose interest will be reduced to Total Expectations of the Public. The Prosecutor should have been relieved of their duty or have the transferred from the court for other reasons.

It is only in the last few days that it might seem that the first ordinal like having an all female jury in Zimmerman’s case would lean towards a resolution, that for that fact that Public opinion seem to have been factored into the process, these women are set to cast a ballot which will not correspond to the Public Expectation or in some case between anyone and any black of jury composed mainly of Whites, it will read North Guilty, if the circumstances are not less obvious or more than 1.

Prove of this is that total expectation is always less than one, to the more optimal degree the conclusion of slough of the probable conclusion is already known, that when a single entity for instance a Black Male is trial of his life against a White Male, Pascal Theory of Sympathy or Self Love suggests that the Judge and Jury will render the fairest judgment only because of the Total Expectation of the general public which is never the same as the incident or facts from the incident and never equal to 1.

Hence, there will questions of injustice or administrative of justice. In order, it will seem more than obvious that a Jury of only White or a Jury on Only Black Male would side the Black Male in no so obvious case, and for that they are conditions by Public expectations to try something else. The only to have jury escape the Total Public Expectation on the matter, are to keep the case private and within the ‘moral certainty’ of the Court which though does not exist will help the Jury decide entirely on their volition.

Once more, we can still that though it may not seem apparent that the women were selected for a reason other the courting of controversy, that it is actually the case, for sure, the defense may make a poor show at the court and the prosecutors may have the day but for the fact that these women – some of them minority and of them blacks – have an opportunity to make or break a case, we should expect the least empathy, they have prove to be as tough as the men or even twice as hard.

It might be better to first discuss some other issues before proceeding.

Scenario two,

You will probably wonder why Banks are very quick to offer loans to people with very expensive top of chain Grand Estate – even if they are affluent which does not mean that have good credit?. Whereas, you and I have problems getting a new set of loan from a different Bank even our old ones without rigorously process that sometimes mitigate against your time and business. And when they start, these Banks if you have noticed pill up their rules on you and make you sign all kinds of paper for a miserly sum.  

The answer is that the Bank believes the Affluent man or woman with so-so credit will likely lose the building and for the money quoted at the time you signed on the business and later, the once affluent man or woman will wind up losing the house and owning the Bank. The call it predatory lending and these Banks are not doing anything wrong. Is such that they know that the average individual is happy with a deal he’s not worth or deal that he or she didn’t qualify and such the total expectation of the individual making the loans is clearly different from the one taking the deal, but the Bank in making such a deal, already determined the end which will not have anything to do with the current financial condition of the borrower.

In essence, most people who take deals do not always meet the target, they either fall short or they shoot over – for instance flipping the house. But so affluent a Grand Estate, there is little and no chance of selling the house and nobody will ask you how you got the deal once it’s in decay.

Dodd-Frank new laws is set to inveigh against this practice, largely for that fact that Banks who gave such credit expected you to lose it, even if means bribing the Board of Education as with New York. The problem is that many people will have problem understanding this theory from this point, but we cannot fail to suggest that the Total Expectations of the General public is usually different reality, and that been said, a process is only expected to logically lead to a good ending but most often than not it does not.

Scenario three

You will expect that in business condition of life, that it is the stronger that will rule the weaker, for instance, the 10^Th planet called NBA is littered with African Americans. The general public suspicion or Total Expectation of nearly everyone is that these African Americans also called Blacks will rule the business climate of the Americans as well, but in reality, Blacks are literally under the thumb of others. Why? What total expectation may also suggest is that it is not the strong that rules the weak in business circumstances of everyday life it is the weak that rule the strong. The reason for is that a total expectation is already built into the minds of say a host country that is for instance my country and the migratory small and weak snake (“the guest”) as Harvard University Professors put it, that wind up chasing the big snake and host from its tree. It is woman that wins the male in official social pursuit.  

In a fight where Mohammed Ali takes on George Foreman, Public expectations varied and Ali emerged champion and was immortalized from the victory. However, if a fight is to take place between Ali and any old woman – even if she’s Ali’s age or slightly older or younger- will create a problem. Here’s why the organizers in choosing such an opponent for Ali buries everyone’s expectations, and therefore decided the case against Ali assuming he takes up the fight. He might accept the fight and she might accept the first and Ali will emerge the champion but only for the Night. From the end of the fight he will never recover his reputation. Perhaps an Old Woman is not a best example, we replaced with an old man, as long as Public Expectations are factored into the equation; the process no longer matters.

In a study of 300 divorces involving rich and affluent Americans, about 295 of cases was decided in the favor of the woman and she parted with undeserved wealth and not a penny of hers. It was only the case of Jennifer Lopez and Madonna and one of the Hiltons that the Court decided against their favor and they went on to split a reasonable part of their money. The question is why? Why do the men always lose so much of their earnings to the women or wives in court especially when money is involved? A clear look at the laws does not show any bias. It is the expectation that female is weaker sex even if that is not always the really the case. The rule here is that Total Expectation is an undiagnosed factor that determines the outcome of cases even before it started.

It is said that out of a collection of 2,000 cases of Step Children from both different mother and father, 90% of these children were abused by their step mothers and the rest abused by step father and usually sexually. One would expect the abuse to come from the father and not the mother, but it turns out the exact opposite. Why? More than 7 out of every 10 model is said to be single and not married, that is contrary to what is expected, and in terms of women not necessarily considered beautiful are said to have more a fair share of the male. Why?     

Removal of Oil Subsidy and Gaps in Nigerian Investment Strategy

   By

Sampson Iroabuchi Onwuka

                                                    Removal of Oil Subsidy


The advice that he Madam Ngozi-Okonjo-Iweala has so far offered should be considered from the wrong and right, but the product of that financial class which includes the current crop of managers at the helm of Nigeria financial Cabal are advocating projects and programs that does not at the moment seem to break the rules of economic growth, but has trapped Nigeria and the Nigerians into a future which the development project will determine.

There is little or nothing anyone has said about this and many people who seem to support this position by the Nigerian President and the Minister for Finance and Development Mrs Ngozi Okonji-Iweala has left no useful reaction to this development saying that of the expenses associated with Crude oil.

What is the opportunity cost of removing oil subsidy? It is somewhere between 15-25% inflation which is a form of taxes and outside the bargaining power of these Nigerians, they are expected to once endure out the high rise of inflation of some quality. The whole role call on why the public is expected to endure this situation failed to indicate that it was a parsimony for IMF and WORLD BANK, as if the use of Euro or foreign denominated currency in Nigeria is a sign of privilege or that the attempt of Nigerian Bankers to create in Lagos or Abuja a kind of Canary Wharf is not absurd enough.

It does appear that the African Economies are attempting to fund their own investment on a level not quite seen before. Perhaps, it is the entrance of China or Re-entrance of Russia into Africa that changed the focus of Africa, but others such as Robert Mugabe who has seen it all, may not exactly identify with the new spirit. It does not mean that the end is here for the old type of African Big man or woman, rather, a new period of economic transition and growth calls for Nigeria and African involvement in total world affairs.

Perhaps it is foreign interest in a country like Nigeria that makes the difference. It began to take place in sizable amount in recent times but only covered a few sector. This funds are mainly driven by private and not public entities and there are pesky issues of development, degree of development associated with state to state development or the decentralization of Lagos and Abuja as the hub of Nigerian business life, where as half a century ago, these centers included Aba, Calabar, and Kano, which as central to the commerce weight of the country.

And the idea of Federal Government expansion is the opportunity cost of defraying its expenses to help its Government crusade on privatization. Since no incentives for such bold endeavors exist, we have to mention that Nigerian financial structure needs a new form of economic redemption or may be facing a present adverse effect with future consequences.

Removing oil Subsidy is a 'necessary evil' if there is anything like that. It is an extreme measurement. For the sake of money we must indicate that 'extreme measure' for the least good is not a necessary evil. It must also be said that no ends can justify any means that ignores public welfare, but against the heavy corruption of Nigerian Oil industry and heavy burden of debt on debt, the no subsidy economic policy is lesser of the two evils.

With all things considered, it may seem that the year will not end as it began. Nigeria is holding quite well, buying Naira, and wasting money from the little available resources and hoping to stay afloat in spite of the new found technologies in many parts of the given world. 

                                                  II  Lapses in Nigerian Investment Strategy

But there are investment vehicles that the both ministers; Ngozi Okonjo-Iwela (Finance Minister) and Olusegun Aganga (Investment and Trade) can implore in helping the growth of local businesses in Nigeria, particularly the area of Investment and Trade.  

One of which is the area that is associated with growing Nigerian businesses from local investment category of Pre-IPO, to standard IPO markets for or from the Nonpoor. Investment in Nigeria is not always projected towards foreign investing crowd many of whom operate under-investigated entities. When they are consulted - assuming they are, they sail from some underground and unheard off board-room to Nigeria, and arrive Nigerian with no intentions of buying regular shares or toe private placement, rather are interest with their papers to buy out preferred stocks in the most lucrative Nigerian businesses.

I mean the whole process is so easy that nearly anyone can have a field day in Nigeria as a foreign investor. What the Nigerian Government has done in the past 10 years requires no large frame looking glass to prove their point about the country, and adding the recent war against illegal bunking of Crude Oil in recent times and drugs, there are reduced questions about the future of Nigerian Crude oil.

Beginning with (a) Finance and organization with due respect to banks and the debt or equity based interest of the federal government (b) Internet Network Structure which some feel has received attention in the last 10 years, yet has nothing to offer in terms of new programs and software such as Security Software or any programs that allow the rest of us to more about our business.

(c) Hospital and Medical management, and en-pound for metal equipment and hospitals for physically disabled or mentally re-covering, asylum for people consider longer term recovery programs (d) then there is the quality of monitoring investment, for local and foreign investment grade, particularly foreign investment group since the country is already overweight on 70% foreign direct Investment (e) and improving the 'Seaports that will require more than a fair share of foreign investors or individual attempts at re-vamping the Nigeria 34 airports, some of it is out of use.

Strangely enough, Nigerian Airways is turf on the new and newly renovated Airports and are managing the long queues with only 8 operational Air Ports and 2 Heliports, and for the records only 3 of these Air ports are International and they guzzle their passengers with price. But under this pattern, the long horn emphasis on others to develop Nigeria or add to its green will not paper out the demands on the grounds. In essence, it mean seem realistic that the country can only care for its citizenry by the provisional resource allocation of the  

These sectors that need more social programs, or would require government expansion and active supervision to re-open will have to wait unless a new round development begins. It however makes for a second kind of argument that if we are talking of employment opportunities, we cannot use Lagos or Abuja to draw conclusion, we must, in particular Mental Health of the patients and doctors or nurses supervision to expansion of Benefits.

A grid system in terms of the Nigerian Social Service and State I.D or number is another means of ensuring that newly graduated Nigeria or fairly new Nigerians are successfully - if not dutifully employed, and these measures if have applied or pursued by the seating government will help to track down violent activities in any one simple part of the country and will also speed up the hunt for loose cannon groups anywhere in the country and in West Africa.

The Grid System is security deposit on the future of any economy's widening demographic and will create means that will promote jobs now and for the future. Such grid system or social identity is not an academic exercise, is far from just a symptom of what Nigerians have learned over the years in places such as Canada or what some of us can still state accurately about the highly coveted and challenged U.S health care industry, rather it is a process of creating work and employment.

A journalist Mbonobong Nsehe > Why African may not really (stay ahead of the Council) Some of the investment which for instance flourishes in Kenya is given by low conversion rate, but generally Tourism is not news - Some of the growth associated with South Africa. The Whole/open yards of human organizational integration (2) Policy analyst and public health structure (3) design, function, management regulations 'Natural and political Observations' Defy

But for medical insurance (medical insurance) to work, Jobs has to work SS2; Social Security 'make easy the age of social security' at least place the 'Grid System' and sometime in the Past, Forbes - listed five Great Investment that anyone can make in Africa but none the mentioned investment has long life if there is no political stability in Nigeria or the Regional West Africa.

The damage to the housing industry is undiagnosed and housing projects promote the credo Re-denomination all these may not happen given the dollar to Naira ratio, and with all due respect to the large house foreign investment – which in real time is not real money – the weight of any nation, particularly developing nation-, is carried by local businesses and local investment and this group which are often neglected amount for the larger percentage of any economic transition of any country. Simply put, develop or encourage the local sector and you will find real time investors more comfortable with long term investment.   

Once, it is the due diligence towards enabling Small Business Administration and financial bus stops, small business investing companies and Crowd, or Angel Investing are financial instruments and items that are not purchased from high grounds, that gradually transition takes form and maturate.  No IPOs will suffice the steps if it intends on climbing. The financial instrument from banks and from private investment or financial institutions should be present and running in Nigeria, especially now the traditional lending between business to business and between businesses to private is no longer at ease in Nigeria or in many parts of the leading economies.

The lending business should not be facing competition especially at the very early stages of such country, the current 'Capital Gap' to 'Corresponding Investment Opportunity' out in spite of the enormous restriction on Credits in Nigeria, and in the end, start up services between the states are articles or interest in the country, and where the financial department should be making the greatest efforts.

Investment in Nigerian markets also requires education and financial literacy and under the new programs slated to meet these projects, there are much more the finance and investment ministers can actually do. We may no longer achieve any form of output in Agriculture if tons of produce from local farmers find their way on the next ship overseas. Like the President once hinted, you cannot place any form of embargo what farmers intend to do with their produce, that it was really up to them. The reason why the area of Agriculture and the production of Soy Milk and other root crops make their way to India and to Asia may be reduced to profits from exchange rate and if the trend continues, accounting for returns on Agriculture which the common citizenry will prefer any day to other things will be quite difficult. 

The three tier level of the Federal, State and Local, can enact Agric Investment and Re-Investment, can throw additional light on the State to State exchange which must no left to the monopoly such Aliko Dangote.